Sr. Manager, Marketplace Intelligence and Forecasting

Details

Airbnb is seeking a senior leader to head the Marketplace Intelligence and Forecasting team within Marketplace Data Science. The team comprises data scientists, applied scientists, and economists focused on growing and optimizing Airbnb's two-sided marketplace. The role sets strategy for supply acquisition, host guidance, and marketplace optimization and combines economics and machine learning to build causal inference models, targeting systems, and forecasting capabilities that power Airbnb's supply strategy and host success.

Responsibilities

• Set organizational vision and strategy for marketplace intelligence and forecasting; cascade goals and align roadmaps with long-term marketplace growth objectives.
• Build and scale automated systems for supply acquisition, host targeting, and incentive optimization operating at marketplace scale (powering personalized host insights, pricing guidance, targeted outreach campaigns).
• Partner with engineering teams to operationalize causal inference models and other analytical systems into production while maintaining high technical quality standards.
• Attract, retain, and develop senior individual contributors and technical leaders; build succession plans and grow a world-class organization of data scientists, applied scientists, and economists.
• Present complex analytical findings and strategic recommendations to executive leadership; influence cross-functionally and contribute to technical forums and papers.
• Drive large cross-team initiatives that measure and deliver growth impact, balancing listing quality and incrementality across the global marketplace.

Requirements

• Advanced degree (PhD preferred) in Economics, Statistics, Computer Science, or related quantitative field with 12+ years of relevant industry experience (9+ years with PhD).
• 4+ years of people management experience leading teams of data scientists, applied scientists, economists, or applied researchers.
• Deep expertise in causal inference methodologies (advanced experimentation and causal machine learning) and their application to marketplace dynamics.
• Strong background in machine learning and statistical modeling, with hands-on experience building uplift and valuation systems as well as forecasting models at scale.
• Experience in marketplace, platform, or multi-sided business environments with an understanding of supply-demand dynamics, network effects, and two-sided marketplace challenges.
• Proven track record of setting organizational vision and translating modeling insights into business strategy with measurable impact across large organizations.
• Experience managing teams through long-term, high-ambiguity projects and making strategic pivots as needed.
• Exceptional communication and leadership skills with demonstrated ability to influence across Data Science and cross-functionally at the company level.

Location & Work Policy

• This position is US - Remote Eligible. Candidates must live in a U.S. state where Airbnb, Inc. has a registered entity (some states are excluded). The role may include occasional work at an Airbnb office or attendance at offsites, as agreed with the manager.

Compensation & Benefits

• Base pay range: $224,000 — $280,000 USD.
• This role may be eligible for bonus, equity, benefits, and Employee Travel Credits.
• Airbnb states that base pay depends on factors such as training, transferable skills, work experience, business needs, and market demands; the base pay range may be updated in the future.

Inclusion

• Airbnb is committed to inclusion & belonging and encourages diverse applicants. Reasonable accommodations are available for candidates with disabilities during the application/interview process.